Will AA8633 be delayed today?
Madrid → Paris Charles de Gaulle · Sun 1 Nov · American Airlines · operated by Iberia as IB585
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 09:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:40≈09:41
Lands11:45≈11:33
As of 07:19, AA8633 should push back about 09:41 (scheduled 09:40) and land about 11:33 (scheduled 11:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual morningIB585's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as IB684 from Venice, due 09:00+1
On time on the board so farMadrid departures board−1
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈1−2 to 13
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−12
weather at Parisdepartures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 09:00Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
76on time
11late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AA8633 Madrid to Paris left within 15 minutes of schedule on 76 of its last 90 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It wasn't cancelled once.