Will AA8647 be delayed today?
Madrid → Marrakesh Menara · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines · operated by Iberia as IB1857
updated Madrid time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:30≈19:46
Lands20:35≈20:40
As of 16:39, AA8647 should push back about 19:46 (scheduled 19:30) and land about 20:40 (scheduled 20:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Madrid; IB1857 is new to us8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 9 min lateMadrid departures board+7
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Iberia is running late today39% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 15 min late+2
Leaves≈157 to 35
Made up in the air−11
Lands≈5
weather at Marrakeshdepartures at Madridstorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 18:45Madrid time
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