Will AA8931 be delayed today?
San Francisco → Hong Kong · Sat 31 Oct · American Airlines · operated by Cathay Pacific as CX873
updated San Francisco time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 23:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves23:55≈23:58
Lands05:05≈04:51Mon
As of 15:19, AA8931 should push back about 23:58 (scheduled 23:55) and land about 04:51 (scheduled 05:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual nightCX873's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at San FranciscoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
San Francisco is running smoothly70% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈3−3 to 15
Made up in the air−17
Lands≈−14
weather at Hong KongCathay Pacific todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 20:55San Francisco time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
65on time
20late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AA8931 San Francisco to Hong Kong left within 15 minutes of schedule on 65 of its last 86 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It wasn't cancelled once.