Will NH1071 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Shonai · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:25≈12:27
As of 07:59, NH1071 should push back about 12:27 (scheduled 12:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual afternoonNH1071's typical departure, last 90 days5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈21 to 8
weather at ShonaiANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 09:25Tokyo time
Last 90 days
26on time
3late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH1071 Tokyo to Shonai left within 15 minutes of schedule on 26 of its last 30 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 4. It wasn't cancelled once.