Will NH1087 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Yonago Kitaro / JASDF Miho Air Base · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Very likely, by about 50 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:50≈12:40
Lands13:15≈14:01
As of 11:19, NH1087 should push back about 12:40 (scheduled 11:50) and land about 14:01 (scheduled 13:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈50 min
A usual morningNH1087's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as NH390 from Yonago, which has landed0
The board already shows 35 min lateTokyo departures board+40
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈5035 to 54
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈45
weather at Yonagodepartures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
74on time
13late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH1087 Tokyo to Yonago left within 15 minutes of schedule on 74 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It wasn't cancelled once.