Will NH116 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Vancouver · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 21:50.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves21:50≈21:51
Lands14:45≈14:33
As of 07:19, NH116 should push back about 21:51 (scheduled 21:50) and land about 14:33 (scheduled 14:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual eveningNH116's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as NH870 from Manila, due 20:000
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈1−1 to 8
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−12
weather at Vancouverdepartures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 169Check again 20:00Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
76on time
13late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH116 Tokyo to Vancouver left within 15 minutes of schedule on 76 of its last 90 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 14. It wasn't cancelled once.