Will NH1893 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Hachijojima · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:30≈12:33
As of 07:59, NH1893 should push back about 12:33 (scheduled 12:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonNH1893's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈31 to 14
weather at Hachijojimadepartures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 123
usually 1 in 15Check again 09:30Tokyo time
Last 90 days
64on time
20late
1very late
5cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH1893 Tokyo to Hachijojima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 64 of its last 90 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It was cancelled 5 times.