Will NH21 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Osaka Itami · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:00≈11:04
Lands12:05≈12:09
As of 07:59, NH21 should push back about 11:04 (scheduled 11:00) and land about 12:09 (scheduled 12:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual morningNH21's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈41 to 11
weather at OsakaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 106
usually 1 in 36Check again 08:00Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
66on time
16late
6very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH21 Tokyo to Osaka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 66 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It was cancelled twice.