Will NH251 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Fukuoka · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:25≈11:29
Lands13:25≈13:26
As of 07:59, NH251 should push back about 11:29 (scheduled 11:25) and land about 13:26 (scheduled 13:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual morningNH251's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈41 to 11
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈1
weather at FukuokaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 08:25Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
68on time
15late
6very late
1cancelled
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T
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NH251 Tokyo to Fukuoka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 68 of its last 90 flights, usually 6 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It was cancelled once.