Will NH257 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Fukuoka · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:15≈14:25
Lands16:10≈16:18
As of 06:49, NH257 should push back about 14:25 (scheduled 14:15) and land about 16:18 (scheduled 16:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonNH257's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈103 to 25
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈8
weather at FukuokaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:15Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
35on time
40late
15very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH257 Tokyo to Fukuoka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 35 of its last 90 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 55. It wasn't cancelled once.