Will NH259 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Fukuoka · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Very likely, by about 40 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:55≈15:34
Lands16:50≈17:27
As of 14:39, NH259 should push back about 15:34 (scheduled 14:55) and land about 17:27 (scheduled 16:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈40 min
A usual afternoonNH259's typical departure, last 90 days10
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 30 min lateTokyo departures board+31
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly26% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈4035 to 53
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈35
weather at FukuokaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
52on time
29late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH259 Tokyo to Fukuoka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 52 of its last 90 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 38. It wasn't cancelled once.