Will NH261 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Fukuoka · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:45≈15:50
Lands17:45≈17:47
As of 06:49, NH261 should push back about 15:50 (scheduled 15:45) and land about 17:47 (scheduled 17:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonNH261's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈51 to 17
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈2
weather at FukuokaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 200
usually 1 in 63Check again 12:45Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
63on time
19late
4very late
4cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH261 Tokyo to Fukuoka left within 15 minutes of schedule on 63 of its last 90 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 23. It was cancelled 4 times.