Will NH405 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Akita · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 14:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves14:05≈14:09
Lands15:10≈15:14
As of 01:19, NH405 should push back about 14:09 (scheduled 14:05) and land about 15:14 (scheduled 15:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual afternoonNH405's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Calmer than usual at AkitaFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
Leaves≈4−1 to 11
departures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 11:05Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
75on time
7late
8very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH405 Tokyo to Akita left within 15 minutes of schedule on 75 of its last 90 flights, usually 4 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 15. It wasn't cancelled once.