Will NH415 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kobe · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 20:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves20:30≈20:35
Lands21:45≈21:46
As of 08:19, NH415 should push back about 20:35 (scheduled 20:30) and land about 21:46 (scheduled 21:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual eveningNH415's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈50 to 14
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈1
weather at Kobedepartures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 135
usually 1 in 55Check again 17:30Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
58on time
24late
7very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH415 Tokyo to Kobe left within 15 minutes of schedule on 58 of its last 90 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 31. It was cancelled once.