Will NH471 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Naha · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:15≈11:27
Lands13:55≈14:01
As of 10:39, NH471 should push back about 11:27 (scheduled 11:15) and land about 14:01 (scheduled 13:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningNH471's typical departure, last 90 days16
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−2
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly31% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈105 to 19
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈6
weather at NahaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 66Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
27on time
52late
7very late
4cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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NH471 Tokyo to Naha left within 15 minutes of schedule on 27 of its last 90 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 59. It was cancelled 4 times.