Will NH473 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Naha · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 9 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:15≈13:24
Lands15:55≈15:58
As of 09:19, NH473 should push back about 13:24 (scheduled 13:15) and land about 15:58 (scheduled 15:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈9 min
A usual afternoonNH473's typical departure, last 90 days12
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly20% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈93 to 20
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈3
weather at NahaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 36Check again 10:15Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
45on time
26late
13very late
6cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH473 Tokyo to Naha left within 15 minutes of schedule on 45 of its last 90 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 39. It was cancelled 6 times.