Will NH477 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Naha · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:30≈15:47
Lands18:10≈18:21
As of 07:19, NH477 should push back about 15:47 (scheduled 15:30) and land about 18:21 (scheduled 18:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonNH477's typical departure, last 90 days20
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Calmer than usual at NahaFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈155 to 33
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈10
departures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 78
usually 1 in 24Check again 12:30Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
23on time
49late
10very late
6cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH477 Tokyo to Naha left within 15 minutes of schedule on 23 of its last 88 flights, usually 21 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 59. It was cancelled 6 times.