Will NH613 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Miyazaki · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:40.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:40≈17:45
Lands19:30≈19:32
As of 07:19, NH613 should push back about 17:45 (scheduled 17:40) and land about 19:32 (scheduled 19:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual eveningNH613's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as NH384 from Yonago, due 10:100
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly17% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈51 to 15
Made up in the air−3
Lands≈2
weather at MiyazakiANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 130
usually 1 in 55Check again 10:10Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
68on time
14late
7very late
1cancelled
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NH613 Tokyo to Miyazaki left within 15 minutes of schedule on 68 of its last 90 flights, usually 7 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 21. It was cancelled once.