Will NH623 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kagoshima · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 11:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:35≈11:40
Lands≈13:30
As of 09:59, NH623 should push back about 11:40 (scheduled 11:35) and land about 13:30 (scheduled 13:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual morningNH623's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as NH404 from Akita, due 10:450
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−2
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈52 to 15
Made up in the air−5
Lands≈0
weather at KagoshimaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 10:45Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
61on time
22late
7very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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NH623 Tokyo to Kagoshima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 61 of its last 90 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 29. It wasn't cancelled once.