Will NH645 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Kumamoto · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 15:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves15:30≈15:35
Lands17:25≈17:26
As of 06:49, NH645 should push back about 15:35 (scheduled 15:30) and land about 17:26 (scheduled 17:25).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual afternoonNH645's typical departure, last 90 days7
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly8% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈51 to 18
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈1
weather at KumamotoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 12:30Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
62on time
23late
5very late
0cancelled
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T
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NH645 Tokyo to Kumamoto left within 15 minutes of schedule on 62 of its last 90 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 28. It wasn't cancelled once.