Will NH861 be delayed tomorrow?
Tokyo → Seoul Gimpo · Mon 2 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:45≈08:46
Lands11:05≈11:02
As of 17:19, NH861 should push back about 08:46 (scheduled 08:45) and land about 11:02 (scheduled 11:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual morningNH861's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom our forecast: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Leaves≈1−2 to 8
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈−3
weather at Seouldepartures at TokyoANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again tomorrow 05:45Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
80on time
7late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH861 Tokyo to Seoul left within 15 minutes of schedule on 80 of its last 90 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.