Will NH87 be delayed today?
Tokyo → Miyakojima Miyako · Sun 1 Nov · ANA
updated Tokyo time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:00≈12:11
Lands14:55≈15:00
As of 07:59, NH87 should push back about 12:11 (scheduled 12:00) and land about 15:00 (scheduled 14:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonNH87's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as NH584 from Matsuyama, due 11:05−1
On time on the board so farTokyo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at TokyoFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Tokyo is running smoothly22% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈104 to 19
Made up in the air−6
Lands≈5
weather at MiyakojimaANA todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 24Check again 11:05Tokyo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
39on time
38late
8very late
5cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
NH87 Tokyo to Miyakojima left within 15 minutes of schedule on 39 of its last 90 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 46. It was cancelled 5 times.