Will DM6261 be delayed today?
Buenos Aires → Punta Cana · Fri 6 Nov · Arajet
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves04:45≈05:05
Leaves in the night from Thu into Fri.
As of 02:59, DM6261 should push back about 05:05 (scheduled 04:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
same answer since Buenos Aires time
Why ≈20 min
A usual nightDM6261's typical departure, last 90 days19
Your plane is running lateHI1026 is 19 min behind from Punta Cana, due 04:04+5
On time on the board so farBuenos Aires departures board−2
Calmer than usual at Buenos AiresFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Buenos Aires is running smoothly33% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈209 to 43
weather at Punta CanaArajet todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 189Check again 04:04Buenos Aires time
Last 90 days
28on time
11late
11very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
DM6261 Buenos Aires to Punta Cana left within 15 minutes of schedule on 28 of its last 50 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It wasn't cancelled once.