Will AV117 be delayed today?
Bogota → Quito Mariscal Sucre · Thu 5 Nov · Avianca
It should have left by now.
We said: Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:25. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:25≈12:26
Lands14:10≈14:13
As of 13:19, AV117 was due to push back about 12:26 (scheduled 12:25). The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
same answer since Bogota time
Why ≈1 min
A usual afternoonAV117's typical departure, last 90 days4
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farBogota departures board−2
Bogota is running smoothly0% of the next two hours' departures already show 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈1−4 to 9
Lost in the air+2
Lands≈3
weather at Bogotaweather at QuitoAvianca todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 60
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
68on time
8late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AV117 Bogota to Quito left within 15 minutes of schedule on 68 of its last 80 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It wasn't cancelled once.