Will AV121 be delayed today?
London → Bogota El Dorado · Mon 2 Nov · Avianca
same answer since London time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 21:35.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves21:35≈21:33London time
Lands03:40≈03:23TueBogota time
As of 18:59, AV121 should push back about 21:33 (scheduled 21:35) and land about 03:23 (scheduled 03:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min early
A usual eveningAV121's typical departure, last 90 days−2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farLondon departures board−1
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
London is backing up68% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+2
Leaves≈−2−8 to 4
Made up in the air−15
Lands≈−17
weather at BogotaAvianca todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 20:50London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
81on time
8late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AV121 London to Bogota left within 15 minutes of schedule on 81 of its last 89 flights, usually 3 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.