Will AV184 be delayed today?
São Paulo → Bogota El Dorado · Sat 31 Oct · Avianca
updated São Paulo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 17:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:25≈17:27
Lands21:30≈21:19
As of 18:29, AV184 should push back about 17:27 (scheduled 17:25) and land about 21:19 (scheduled 21:30).
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈2 min
A usual eveningAV184's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AV185 from Bogota, due 16:150
On time on the board so farSão Paulo departures board−2
Calmer than usual at São PauloFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
São Paulo is backing upFew departures reported recently+1
Avianca is running well today14% of its departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late; earlier on this route: 9 min early−2
Leaves≈2−5 to 14
Made up in the air−13
Lands≈−11
weather at Bogotastorms, quakes, volcanoes
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
13on time
10late
2very late
1cancelled
M
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AV184 São Paulo to Bogota left within 15 minutes of schedule on 13 of its last 26 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 12. It was cancelled once.