Will AV2502 be delayed today?
Madrid → Lisbon Humberto Delgado · Sun 1 Nov · Avianca · operated by TAP Air Portugal as TP1011
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:20≈10:25
Lands10:45≈10:40
As of 02:19, AV2502 should push back about 10:25 (scheduled 10:20) and land about 10:40 (scheduled 10:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈5 min
A usual morningTP1011's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−1
Leaves≈50 to 16
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−5
weather at Lisbondepartures at MadridTAP Air Portugal todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 07:20Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
51on time
25late
9very late
0cancelled
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AV2502 Madrid to Lisbon left within 15 minutes of schedule on 51 of its last 85 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 34. It wasn't cancelled once.