Will AV47 be delayed tomorrow?
Madrid → Bogota El Dorado · Sun 1 Nov · Avianca
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 01:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves01:25≈01:26
Lands05:45≈05:30
As of 15:19, AV47 should push back about 01:26 (scheduled 01:25) and land about 05:30 (scheduled 05:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈1 min
A usual nightAV47's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AV46 from Bogota, due 23:25−1
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry tomorrow−1
Leaves≈1−4 to 11
Made up in the air−16
Lands≈−15
weather at Bogotadepartures at MadridAvianca todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 23:25Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
69on time
13late
6very late
1cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AV47 Madrid to Bogota left within 15 minutes of schedule on 69 of its last 89 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 19. It was cancelled once.