Will AD2471 be delayed tomorrow?
São Paulo → Fortaleza Pinto Martins · Sun 1 Nov · Azul
updated São Paulo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 08:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:05≈08:07
As of 11:19, AD2471 should push back about 08:07 (scheduled 08:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningTypical for this time of day at São Paulo; AD2471 is new to us2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Leaves≈2−1 to 6
weather at São Pauloweather at Fortalezadepartures at São PauloAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 90
usually 1 in 54Check again tomorrow 05:05São Paulo time
Last 90 days
11on time
1late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD2471 São Paulo to Fortaleza left within 15 minutes of schedule on 11 of its last 13 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.