Will AD2486 be delayed today?
Belo Horizonte → Maceió Zumbi dos Palmares · Sat 31 Oct · Azul
updated Belo Horizonte time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves23:45≈23:56
As of 11:19, AD2486 should push back about 23:56 (scheduled 23:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual nightTypical for this time of day at Belo Horizonte; AD2486 is new to us6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder 44% likely, low cloud and poor visibility around departure at Belo Horizonte today+4
Belo Horizonte is backing up33% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈105 to 25
weather at MaceióAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 24
usually 1 in 68Check again 20:45Belo Horizonte time
Last 90 days
9on time
1late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD2486 Belo Horizonte to Maceió left within 15 minutes of schedule on 9 of its last 11 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 2. It wasn't cancelled once.