Will AD2787 be delayed today?
Rio de Janeiro → Recife/Guararapes-Gilberto Freyre · Sat 31 Oct · Azul
updated Rio de Janeiro time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 16:20.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:20≈16:22
As of 10:59, AD2787 should push back about 16:22 (scheduled 16:20).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈2 min
A usual afternoonAD2787's typical departure, last 90 days3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AD2786 from Recife, due 15:40+1
Calmer than usual at Rio de JaneiroFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Rio de Janeiro is running smoothly50% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈2−1 to 16
weather at RecifeAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 200
Check again 15:40Rio de Janeiro time
Last 90 days
17on time
7late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AD2787 Rio de Janeiro to Recife left within 15 minutes of schedule on 17 of its last 25 flights, usually 9 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 8. It wasn't cancelled once.