Will AD2948 be delayed today?
Belo Horizonte → Rio de Janeiro Santos Dumont · Sun 1 Nov · Azul
updated Belo Horizonte time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:30≈08:40
As of 00:49, AD2948 should push back about 08:40 (scheduled 08:30).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningAD2948's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at Belo HorizonteFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
Leaves≈106 to 24
weather at Rio de Janeirodepartures at Belo HorizonteAZUL todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 200
Check again 05:30Belo Horizonte time
Last 90 days
56on time
30late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD2948 Belo Horizonte to Rio de Janeiro left within 15 minutes of schedule on 56 of its last 90 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 34. It wasn't cancelled once.