Will AD2974 be delayed tomorrow?
Belo Horizonte → Porto Seguro · Sun 1 Nov · Azul
updated Belo Horizonte time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:40≈18:55
As of 20:19, AD2974 should push back about 18:55 (scheduled 18:40).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningAD2974's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF at Belo Horizonte tomorrow+1
Belo Horizonte is backing up21% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈156 to 25
weather at Porto SeguroAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 66
usually 1 in 104Check again tomorrow 15:40Belo Horizonte time
Last 90 days
45on time
23late
10very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD2974 Belo Horizonte to Porto Seguro left within 15 minutes of schedule on 45 of its last 78 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 33. It wasn't cancelled once.