Will AD4105 be delayed tomorrow?
Belo Horizonte → Manaus Eduardo Gomes · Sun 1 Nov · Azul
updated Belo Horizonte time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves08:05≈08:17
As of 22:19, AD4105 should push back about 08:17 (scheduled 08:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual morningAD4105's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder 36% likely at Belo Horizonte tomorrow+1
Leaves≈107 to 24
weather at Manausdepartures at Belo HorizonteAZUL todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 139Check again tomorrow 05:05Belo Horizonte time
Last 90 days
44on time
26late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD4105 Belo Horizonte to Manaus left within 15 minutes of schedule on 44 of its last 71 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 27. It wasn't cancelled once.