Will AD4201 be delayed today?
Belo Horizonte → São Paulo Congonhas–Deputado Freitas Nobre · Sun 1 Nov · Azul
updated Belo Horizonte time
Probably, by about 20 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:30≈17:52
Lands18:55≈19:08
As of 02:19, AD4201 should push back about 17:52 (scheduled 17:30) and land about 19:08 (scheduled 18:55).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈20 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at Belo Horizonte; AD4201 is new to us21
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF at Belo Horizonte today+1
Leaves≈2010 to 42
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈15
weather at São Paulodepartures at Belo HorizonteAZUL todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 36
Check again 14:30Belo Horizonte time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
3on time
4late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD4201 Belo Horizonte to São Paulo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 3 of its last 10 flights, usually 25 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 7. It wasn't cancelled once.