Will AD4236 be delayed tomorrow?
Belo Horizonte → São Paulo Guarulhos · Sun 1 Nov · Azul
updated Belo Horizonte time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves11:55≈12:09
Lands13:15≈13:20
As of 20:19, AD4236 should push back about 12:09 (scheduled 11:55) and land about 13:20 (scheduled 13:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual morningAD4236's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AD4570 from São Paulo, due 11:350
Belo Horizonte is backing up21% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈155 to 20
Made up in the air−9
Lands≈5
weather at Belo Horizonteweather at São PauloAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 51
usually 1 in 30Check again tomorrow 11:35Belo Horizonte time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
46on time
36late
6very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
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AD4236 Belo Horizonte to São Paulo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 46 of its last 90 flights, usually 14 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 42. It was cancelled twice.