Will AD4454 be delayed today?
São Paulo → Belo Horizonte Tancredo Neves · Sat 31 Oct · Azul
updated São Paulo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 18:55.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves18:55≈18:58
Lands20:10≈20:09
As of 11:19, AD4454 should push back about 18:58 (scheduled 18:55) and land about 20:09 (scheduled 20:10).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at São Paulo; AD4454 is new to us3
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at São PauloFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
Thunderstorms possible at Belo HorizonteFrom our forecast: thunder 44% likely, low cloud and poor visibility around arrival at Belo Horizonte today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 25% 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈30 to 19
Made up in the air−4
Lands≈−1
departures at São PauloAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 130
usually 1 in 73Check again 15:55São Paulo time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
9on time
0late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD4454 São Paulo to Belo Horizonte left within 15 minutes of schedule on 9 of its last 12 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 3. It wasn't cancelled once.