Will AD4500 be delayed today?
Belo Horizonte → Belém Val de Cans/Júlio Cezar Ribeiro · Sun 1 Nov · Azul
updated Belo Horizonte time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves17:45≈17:59
As of 00:49, AD4500 should push back about 17:59 (scheduled 17:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual eveningAD4500's typical departure, last 90 days14
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF at Belo Horizonte today+1
Calmer than usual at BelémFrom our forecast: quiet today−1
Leaves≈155 to 29
departures at Belo HorizonteAZUL todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 51
usually 1 in 93Check again 14:45Belo Horizonte time
Last 90 days
34on time
31late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD4500 Belo Horizonte to Belém left within 15 minutes of schedule on 34 of its last 70 flights, usually 15 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 36. It wasn't cancelled once.