Will AD4570 be delayed today?
São Paulo → Belo Horizonte Tancredo Neves · Sat 31 Oct · Azul
updated São Paulo time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves09:55≈10:02
Lands11:05≈11:11
As of 10:39, AD4570 should push back about 10:02 (scheduled 09:55) and land about 11:11 (scheduled 11:05).
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈7 min
A usual morningAD4570's typical departure, last 90 days9
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AD2814 from Belo Horizonte, not departed yet0
On time on the board so farSão Paulo departures board−2
Calmer than usual at São PauloFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Thunderstorms possible at Belo HorizonteFrom the TAF: thunder 44% likely, low cloud and poor visibility around arrival at Belo Horizonte today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 43% 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈70 to 24
Made up in the air−1
Lands≈6
departures at São PauloAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
48on time
10late
5very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD4570 São Paulo to Belo Horizonte left within 15 minutes of schedule on 48 of its last 63 flights, usually 3 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 15. It wasn't cancelled once.