Will AD4853 be delayed?
Campinas → Vitória Eurico de Aguiar Salles · Sat 31 Oct · Azul
updated Campinas time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 22:30.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves22:30≈22:34
As of 00:49, AD4853 should push back about 22:34 (scheduled 22:30).
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈4 min
A usual nightAD4853's typical departure, last 90 days6
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farCampinas departures board−2
Calmer than usual at CampinasFrom the TAF: showers but light wind tomorrow−1
Campinas is backing up25% of departures in the last three hours left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈4−4 to 10
weather at VitóriaAZUL that daystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Last 90 days
40on time
7late
9very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD4853 Campinas to Vitória left within 15 minutes of schedule on 40 of its last 56 flights, usually 1 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It wasn't cancelled once.