Will AD4880 be delayed today?
São Paulo → Rio de Janeiro Santos Dumont · Sat 31 Oct · Azul
updated São Paulo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 19:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:00≈18:54
As of 11:19, AD4880 should push back about 18:54 (scheduled 19:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈6 min early
A usual eveningTypical for this time of day at São Paulo; AD4880 is new to us−5
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at São PauloFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−1
Leaves≈−6−10 to 0
weather at Rio de Janeirodepartures at São PauloAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 200
usually 1 in 90Check again 16:00São Paulo time
Last 90 days
10on time
0late
0very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD4880 São Paulo to Rio de Janeiro left within 15 minutes of schedule on 10 of its last 10 flights, usually on time, and 15 minutes or more late on 0. It wasn't cancelled once.