Will AD5086 be delayed today?
São Paulo → Rio de Janeiro Santos Dumont · Sat 31 Oct · Azul
updated São Paulo time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:05.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:05≈12:00
As of 10:19, AD5086 should push back about 12:00 (scheduled 12:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Thin board data at this airport.
Why ≈5 min early
A usual afternoonAD5086's typical departure, last 90 days−3
Your plane, probablyIt usually comes in as AD2898 from Rio de Janeiro, due 11:150
On time on the board so farSão Paulo departures board−1
Calmer than usual at São PauloFrom the TAF: showers but light wind today−1
Leaves≈−5−9 to 2
weather at Rio de Janeirodepartures at São PauloAZUL todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 11:15São Paulo time
Last 90 days
15on time
0late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD5086 São Paulo to Rio de Janeiro left within 15 minutes of schedule on 15 of its last 16 flights, usually 11 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 1. It wasn't cancelled once.