Will AD6415 be delayed tomorrow?
Belo Horizonte → São Paulo Congonhas–Deputado Freitas Nobre · Sun 1 Nov · Azul
updated Belo Horizonte time
Maybe, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:05≈13:19
Lands14:35≈14:42
As of 13:49, AD6415 should push back about 13:19 (scheduled 13:05) and land about 14:42 (scheduled 14:35).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonAD6415's typical departure, last 90 days13
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Belo Horizonte is backing up40% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈156 to 27
Made up in the air−7
Lands≈7
weather at Belo Horizonteweather at São PauloAzul todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 18
usually 1 in 43Check again tomorrow 10:05Belo Horizonte time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
26on time
12late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
AD6415 Belo Horizonte to São Paulo left within 15 minutes of schedule on 26 of its last 42 flights, usually 11 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 16. It wasn't cancelled once.