Will AD7854 be delayed today?
Madrid → Lisbon Humberto Delgado · Sun 1 Nov · Azul · operated by Air Europa as UX1153
updated Madrid time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 10:25.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves10:25≈10:27
Lands10:50≈10:42
As of 07:39, AD7854 should push back about 10:27 (scheduled 10:25) and land about 10:42 (scheduled 10:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈2 min
A usual morningUX1153's typical departure, last 90 days2
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Board shows no delay yetMadrid departures board+1
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈2−2 to 12
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−8
weather at Lisbondepartures at MadridAir Europa todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 09:40Madrid time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
77on time
9late
1very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
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AD7854 Madrid to Lisbon left within 15 minutes of schedule on 77 of its last 87 flights, usually 1 minutes early, and 15 minutes or more late on 10. It wasn't cancelled once.