Will UP204 be delayed tomorrow?
Fort Lauderdale → Nassau Lynden Pindling · Sun 1 Nov · Bahamasair
updated Fort Lauderdale time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 12:45.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No7%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:45≈12:48
As of 17:49, UP204 should push back about 12:48 (scheduled 12:45).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈3 min
A usual afternoonUP204's typical departure, last 90 days1
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Thunderstorms possibleFrom our forecast: thunder in the TAF, 96% chance of rain at Fort Lauderdale tomorrow+2
Leaves≈3−2 to 16
weather at Nassaudepartures at Fort LauderdaleBahamasair todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 18
Check again tomorrow 09:45Fort Lauderdale time
Last 90 days
37on time
12late
12very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
UP204 Fort Lauderdale to Nassau left within 15 minutes of schedule on 37 of its last 63 flights, usually 5 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 24. It was cancelled twice.