Will BA15 be delayed today?
London → Sydney Kingsford Smith · Sat 31 Oct · British Airways
updated London time
Unlikely. It should leave close to 21:00.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves21:00≈21:04
As of 19:39, BA15 should push back about 21:04 (scheduled 21:00).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈4 min
A usual eveningBA15's typical departure, last 90 days8
Your planeNot assigned yet0
On time on the board so farLondon departures board−3
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈41 to 9
weather at Sydneydepartures at LondonBritish Airways todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
usually 1 in 50Check again 20:15London time
Last 90 days
60on time
22late
6very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
BA15 London to Sydney left within 15 minutes of schedule on 60 of its last 90 flights, usually 8 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 28. It was cancelled twice.