Will BA4226 be delayed today?
Madrid → Mexico City Benito Juárez · Sat 31 Oct · British Airways · operated by Iberia as IB311
updated Madrid time
Probably, by about 15 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe46%Probably71%Very likely94%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves16:50≈17:07
Lands21:20≈21:17
As of 17:49, BA4226 should push back about 17:07 (scheduled 16:50) and land about 21:17 (scheduled 21:20).
Why ≈15 min
A usual afternoonIB311's typical departure, last 90 days11
Your planeNot assigned yet0
The board already shows 13 min lateMadrid departures board+7
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Leaves≈1510 to 27
Made up in the air−20
Lands≈−3
weather at Mexico Citydepartures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
52on time
30late
4very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
BA4226 Madrid to Mexico City left within 15 minutes of schedule on 52 of its last 86 flights, usually 13 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 34. It wasn't cancelled once.