Will BA464 be delayed today?
London → Madrid Barajas · Sun 1 Nov · British Airways
updated London time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves13:20≈13:32
Lands16:50≈17:00
As of 02:19, BA464 should push back about 13:32 (scheduled 13:20) and land about 17:00 (scheduled 16:50).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonBA464's typical departure, last 90 days15
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at LondonFrom our forecast: showers but light wind today−2
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today. Arrivals there in the last hour: 80% 15+ min late−1
Leaves≈105 to 36
Made up in the air−2
Lands≈10
departures at LondonBritish Airways todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? 1 in 9
usually 1 in 49Check again 10:20London time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
36on time
43late
7very late
2cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
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BA464 London to Madrid left within 15 minutes of schedule on 36 of its last 88 flights, usually 18 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 50. It was cancelled twice.