Will SN3820 be delayed today?
Lisbon → Brussels · Sat 31 Oct · Brussels Airlines
updated Lisbon time
Maybe, by about 7 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably71%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves19:25≈19:32
Lands23:15≈23:12
As of 17:39, SN3820 should push back about 19:32 (scheduled 19:25) and land about 23:12 (scheduled 23:15).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈7 min
A usual eveningSN3820's typical departure, last 90 days14
Your plane looks on timeIt usually comes in as SN3819 from Brussels, due 18:30−4
On time on the board so farLisbon departures board−3
Calmer than usual at LisbonFrom the TAF: dry today−1
Lisbon is backing up25% of departures in the last hour left 15+ min late+1
Leaves≈7−2 to 18
Made up in the air−10
Lands≈−3
weather at BrusselsBrussels Airlines todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Cancelled? < 1 in 200
Check again 18:30Lisbon time
Meeting someone?
Last 90 days
25on time
38late
23very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
SN3820 Lisbon to Brussels left within 15 minutes of schedule on 25 of its last 86 flights, usually 23 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 61. It wasn't cancelled once.