Will CX1761 be delayed today?
Madrid → Fortaleza Pinto Martins · Sun 1 Nov · Cathay Pacific · operated by Iberia as IB149
updated Madrid time
Maybe, by about 10 minutes.
It should have left by now. The board hasn't shown it leaving yet.
No6%Unlikely20%Maybe45%Probably70%Very likely93%% of flights that really left 15+ min late when we said that word ›Leaves12:05≈12:17
As of 01:19, CX1761 should push back about 12:17 (scheduled 12:05).
Boarding still follows the original schedule.
Why ≈10 min
A usual afternoonIB149's typical departure, last 90 days14
Your planeNot assigned yet0
Calmer than usual at MadridFrom our forecast: dry today−2
Leaves≈105 to 27
weather at Fortalezadepartures at MadridIberia todaystorms, quakes, volcanoes
Check again 09:05Madrid time
Last 90 days
29on time
19late
3very late
0cancelled
M
T
W
T
F
S
S
CX1761 Madrid to Fortaleza left within 15 minutes of schedule on 29 of its last 51 flights, usually 12 minutes late, and 15 minutes or more late on 22. It wasn't cancelled once.